More of the same for house prices in 2012

Friday, 2 December 2011 2:25 PM

House prices will remain broadly unchanged in 2012 with a decline more likely than a rise and transactions will stay at current low levels.

That's the prediction from South-East based Townend Estate Agents despite government attempts to get the market moving with its housing strategy and autumn statement.

Group sales director Douglas Sleaper said prices across its network have fallen in the last year with changes very localised.

More affluent areas of London have seen price rises back to their peak of 2007 thanks to cash buyers chasing rising rental yields and long-term investment potential. But other areas in which first and second time buyers predominate have seen prices and transactions fall as a result of restricted mortgage availability.

He said: "Our expectation is that there will be nothing radically different in 2012.

"Nothing that the government has announced in their autumn statement is likely to make a significant enough difference to kick-start the housing sector and the abolition of the stamp duty holiday for first time buyers suggests that this measure hasn't worked."

Group lettings director Caroline Kavanagh said it was not possible for rents to continue to rise at the pace seen in the last year because of a surge in rental demand and a shortage of properties. She said that there are already signs that some tenants are looking at alternatives such as moving back in with their parents, downsizing or sharing.

But she added: "Heading into 2012, demand will almost certainly continue to outstrip supply.

"However, with signs that rents are stabilising, next year is likely to be more balanced, meaning landlords will have to be more realistic, perhaps weighing up the pros and cons of keeping a current and reliable tenant but accepting that the rental income will remain the same, versus facing the open market in a bid to secure a tenant possibly willing to pay more."

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